Triple Threat WNBA Mobile Snapshot

2026-08-24 · Captured 2026-08-24 07:48 UTC
Frozen pregame snapshot. 2 games loaded Lines and projections do not update on this page.
Golden State Valkyries 25-9
Minnesota Lynx 29-7
Scheduled · Target Center
ML+196 / -245
Spread-6 (-107 / -113)
Total158.5 (O -114 / U -110)
pinnacle
Golden State Valkyries
Off Rating#7109.9 ▼ Def Rating#1101.1 ▼ Net Rating#28.8 ▲ Pace#1591.1
Minnesota Lynx
Off Rating#2113.9 ▲ Def Rating#3103.4 ▲ Net Rating#110.5 ▼ Pace#797.4 ▼
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v7-final-role-distribution
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Golden State Valkyries82.4
–
Minnesota Lynx73
Scoring range (P20 / median / P80) 73.9 / 82.4 / 90.9 67.1 / 73 / 78.9 Total range146.6 / 155.4 / 164.2
Golden State Valkyries83.0%Minnesota Lynx17.0%
Possessions78.5 Model spreadMinnesota Lynx +9.4 Model total155.4 Game-script reliability76.3%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread-6.0+15.4 Total158.5-3.1 Moneyline71.0%-54.0%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerGolden State Valkyries 83.0%
SpreadGolden State Valkyries · Bet
TotalUnder 158.5 · Lean
Best playMoneyline: Golden State Valkyries
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 76.3/100
Minnesota LynxLine ML · -245
Model12.8%
Edge (no-vig)-54.9 pp
Fair+678
Projection -10.9 · Break-even 71.0% · No-vig 67.8%
Golden State ValkyriesLine ML · +196
Model87.2%
Edge (no-vig)+54.9 pp
Fair-678
Projection 10.9 · Break-even 33.8% · No-vig 32.2%
SPREADReliability 76.3/100
Minnesota LynxLine -6 · -113
Model3.9%
Edge (no-vig)-46.7 pp
Fair+2437
Projection -10.9 · Break-even 53.0% · No-vig 50.6%
Golden State ValkyriesLine 6 · -107
Model96.1%
Edge (no-vig)+46.7 pp
Fair-2437
Projection 10.9 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 49.4%
TOTALReliability 76.3/100
OverLine 158.5 · -114
Model49.0%
Edge (no-vig)-1.4 pp
Fair+104
Projection 158.1 · Break-even 53.3% · No-vig 50.4%
UnderLine 158.5 · -110
Model51.0%
Edge (no-vig)+1.4 pp
Fair-104
Projection 158.1 · Break-even 52.4% · No-vig 49.6%
Atlanta Dream 22-13
Los Angeles Sparks 12-23
Scheduled · crypto.com Arena
ML-472 / +354
Spread9.5 (-114 / -107)
Total181.5 (O -112 / U -112)
pinnacle
Atlanta Dream
Off Rating#5110.5 ▼ Def Rating#4104.8 ▼ Net Rating#45.7 Pace#497.7 ▲
Los Angeles Sparks
Off Rating#10106.5 ▼ Def Rating#14112.1 ▼ Net Rating#12-5.6 ▼ Pace#398.9
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v7-final-role-distribution
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Atlanta Dream88.9
–
Los Angeles Sparks88.3
Scoring range (P20 / median / P80) 75.4 / 88.9 / 102.4 80.3 / 88.3 / 96.3 Total range163.9 / 177.2 / 190.5
Atlanta Dream51.6%Los Angeles Sparks48.4%
Possessions81.9 Model spreadLos Angeles Sparks +0.6 Model total177.2 Game-script reliability72.5%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread+9.5-8.9 Total181.5-4.3 Moneyline22.0%+26.4%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerAtlanta Dream 51.6%
SpreadLos Angeles Sparks · Bet
TotalUnder 181.5 · Bet
Best playSpread: Los Angeles Sparks
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 72.5/100
Los Angeles SparksLine ML · +354
Model44.0%
Edge (no-vig)+22.9 pp
Fair+127
Projection -2.1 · Break-even 22.0% · No-vig 21.1%
Atlanta DreamLine ML · -472
Model56.0%
Edge (no-vig)-22.9 pp
Fair-127
Projection 2.1 · Break-even 82.5% · No-vig 78.9%
SPREADReliability 72.5/100
Los Angeles SparksLine 9.5 · -107
Model70.2%
Edge (no-vig)+20.9 pp
Fair-235
Projection -2.1 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 49.3%
Atlanta DreamLine -9.5 · -114
Model29.8%
Edge (no-vig)-20.9 pp
Fair+235
Projection 2.1 · Break-even 53.3% · No-vig 50.7%
TOTALReliability 72.5/100
OverLine 181.5 · -112
Model47.3%
Edge (no-vig)-2.7 pp
Fair+111
Projection 179.9 · Break-even 52.8% · No-vig 50.0%
UnderLine 181.5 · -112
Model52.7%
Edge (no-vig)+2.7 pp
Fair-111
Projection 179.9 · Break-even 52.8% · No-vig 50.0%

Player PTS & REB Projections

Pregame outputs from projected rotations and stored ESPN box-score history.

player-pr-v1

Golden State Valkyries at Minnesota Lynx

Golden State Valkyries15 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Veronica BurtonACTIVE28.513.53.8
Gabby WilliamsACTIVE23.413.23.1
Kayla ThorntonACTIVE23.47.23.1
Tiffany HayesACTIVE21.813.74.6
Cecilia ZandalasiniACTIVE21.58.63.6
Kiah StokesACTIVE16.02.84.5
Janelle SalaunACTIVE15.69.92.4
Ashten PrechtelACTIVE13.52.32.2
Kaila CharlesACTIVE13.54.32.3
Kaitlyn ChenACTIVE10.82.70.7
Laeticia AmihereACTIVE9.02.82.2
Juste JocyteACTIVE1.51.50.0
Nadia FingallACTIVE1.50.00.0
Miela SowahACTIVE0.00.00.0
Iliana RupertOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
Minnesota Lynx14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Natasha HowardACTIVE40.016.19.9
Olivia MilesACTIVE40.023.54.9
Kayla McBrideACTIVE39.921.12.0
Nia CoffeyACTIVE27.26.04.3
Maya CaldwellACTIVE15.82.62.6
Dorka JuhaszACTIVE15.12.52.3
Antonia DelaereACTIVE8.30.50.4
Chloe BibbyACTIVE7.20.01.4
Eliska JoklovaACTIVE3.60.71.0
Anastasiia Olairi KosuACTIVE2.90.00.0
Courtney WilliamsOUT0.00.00.0
Elena BuenavidaOUT0.00.00.0
Liatu KingOUT0.00.00.0
Napheesa CollierOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line

Atlanta Dream at Los Angeles Sparks

Atlanta Dream14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Rhyne HowardACTIVE34.520.23.3
Angel ReeseACTIVE33.516.613.8
Allisha GrayACTIVE32.818.64.1
Jordin CanadaACTIVE30.011.13.9
Naz HillmonACTIVE29.47.95.0
Isobel BorlaseACTIVE14.13.41.4
Madina OkotACTIVE10.64.43.6
Te-Hina PaopaoACTIVE5.82.70.2
Aaliyah NyeACTIVE3.71.50.5
Sika KoneACTIVE2.60.80.4
Brionna JonesOUT0.00.00.0
Indya NivarOUT0.00.00.0
Jaylyn SherrodOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
Los Angeles Sparks13 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Rae BurrellACTIVE30.518.72.3
Nneka OgwumikeACTIVE30.015.38.4
Dearica HambyACTIVE27.515.46.3
Ariel AtkinsACTIVE25.56.92.9
Erica WheelerACTIVE25.110.22.1
Cameron BrinkACTIVE12.26.33.6
Monique Akoa MakaniACTIVE9.72.50.9
Tonie MorganACTIVE9.53.80.6
Chance GrayACTIVE7.92.60.9
Alissa PiliACTIVE6.62.01.6
Jihyun ParkACTIVE6.01.70.5
Kate MartinACTIVE5.11.01.6
Emma CannonACTIVE4.41.81.4
Add optional player line