Triple Threat WNBA Mobile Snapshot

2026-08-27 · Captured 2026-08-27 06:32 UTC
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Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty
Golden State Valkyries 27-11
New York Liberty 23-15
Scheduled · Barclays Center
ML+124 / -151
Spread-2.5 (-105 / -115)
Total163.5 (O -110 / U -114)
pinnacle
Golden State Valkyries
Off Rating#7108.8 ▼ Def Rating#1100.7 ▼ Net Rating#28.1 ▼ Pace#1590.9 ▼
New York Liberty
Off Rating#4111.8 ▲ Def Rating#8107.9 ▲ Net Rating#63.9 ▲ Pace#896.8 ▲
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v7-final-role-distribution
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Golden State Valkyries86.1
–
New York Liberty77.1
Scoring range (P20 / median / P80) 76.9 / 86.1 / 95.3 70.3 / 77.1 / 83.9 Total range153.5 / 163.2 / 172.9
Golden State Valkyries79.7%New York Liberty20.3%
Possessions78.2 Model spreadNew York Liberty +9.0 Model total163.2 Game-script reliability76%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread-2.5+11.5 Total163.5-0.3 Moneyline60.2%-39.8%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerGolden State Valkyries 79.7%
SpreadGolden State Valkyries +2.5 · Bet
TotalPass
Best playMoneyline: Golden State Valkyries
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 76/100
New York LibertyLine ML · -151
Model13.2%
Edge (no-vig)-44.3 pp
Fair+660
Projection -10.94 · Break-even 60.2% · No-vig 57.4%
Golden State ValkyriesLine ML · +124
Model86.8%
Edge (no-vig)+44.3 pp
Fair-660
Projection 10.94 · Break-even 44.6% · No-vig 42.6%
SPREADReliability 76/100
New York LibertyLine -2.5 · -115
Model8.5%
Edge (no-vig)-42.6 pp
Fair+1082
Projection -10.94 · Break-even 53.5% · No-vig 51.1%
Golden State ValkyriesLine 2.5 · -105
Model91.5%
Edge (no-vig)+42.6 pp
Fair-1082
Projection 10.94 · Break-even 51.2% · No-vig 48.9%
TOTALReliability 76/100
OverLine 163.5 · -110
Model51.4%
Edge (no-vig)+1.8 pp
Fair-106
Projection 164.06 · Break-even 52.4% · No-vig 49.6%
UnderLine 163.5 · -114
Model48.6%
Edge (no-vig)-1.8 pp
Fair+106
Projection 164.06 · Break-even 53.3% · No-vig 50.4%
Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury
Washington Mystics 23-15
Phoenix Mercury 13-25
Scheduled · Mortgage Matchup Center
ML-196 / +159
Spread4.5 (-107 / -113)
Total167 (O -103 / U -122)
pinnacle
Washington Mystics
Off Rating#13103.3 ▲ Def Rating#3103.9 ▲ Net Rating#8-0.6 ▲ Pace#1494.3 ▲
Phoenix Mercury
Off Rating#12104.7 ▲ Def Rating#12109.5 ▲ Net Rating#10-4.9 ▼ Pace#1296.0
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v7-final-role-distribution
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Washington Mystics81
–
Phoenix Mercury77.4
Scoring range (P20 / median / P80) 72.6 / 81 / 89.4 68.6 / 77.4 / 86.2 Total range148.3 / 158.4 / 168.5
Washington Mystics64.0%Phoenix Mercury36.0%
Possessions79.3 Model spreadPhoenix Mercury +3.6 Model total158.4 Game-script reliability72%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread+4.5-0.9 Total167-8.6 Moneyline38.6%-2.6%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerWashington Mystics 64.0%
SpreadWait · Kelsey Plum · QUESTIONABLE · 50% active · 21.2 min role
TotalWait · Kelsey Plum · QUESTIONABLE · 50% active · 21.2 min role
Best playPass
Final availability required for Kelsey Plum · QUESTIONABLE · 50% active · 21.2 min role. Refreshing after a definitive status will remove this warning and recalculate the game.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 72/100
Phoenix MercuryLine ML · +159
Model27.3%
Edge (no-vig)-9.6 pp
Fair+267
Projection -5.54 · Break-even 38.6% · No-vig 36.8%
Washington MysticsLine ML · -196
Model72.8%
Edge (no-vig)+9.6 pp
Fair-267
Projection 5.54 · Break-even 66.2% · No-vig 63.2%
SPREADReliability 72/100
Phoenix MercuryLine 4.5 · -113
Model45.5%
Edge (no-vig)-5.2 pp
Fair+120
Projection -5.54 · Break-even 53.0% · No-vig 50.6%
Washington MysticsLine -4.5 · -107
Model54.5%
Edge (no-vig)+5.2 pp
Fair-120
Projection 5.54 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 49.4%
TOTALReliability 72/100
OverLine 167 · -103
Model30.8%
Edge (no-vig)-17.2 pp
Fair+225
Projection 159.26 · Break-even 50.7% · No-vig 48.0%
UnderLine 167 · -122
Model69.2%
Edge (no-vig)+17.2 pp
Fair-225
Projection 159.26 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 52.0%

Player PTS & REB Projections

Pregame outputs from projected rotations and stored ESPN box-score history.

player-pr-v1

Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty

Golden State Valkyries15 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Veronica BurtonACTIVE27.614.83.7
Gabby WilliamsACTIVE24.014.33.3
Janelle SalaunACTIVE22.015.13.5
Kiah StokesACTIVE20.33.86.1
Kayla ThorntonACTIVE20.25.52.7
Cecilia ZandalasiniACTIVE15.57.42.2
Tiffany HayesACTIVE14.910.33.0
Kaila CharlesACTIVE12.64.72.4
Kaitlyn ChenACTIVE11.13.50.7
Ashten PrechtelACTIVE10.91.32.7
Laeticia AmihereACTIVE9.63.02.3
Juste JocyteACTIVE4.41.00.0
Miela SowahACTIVE3.50.01.1
Nadia FingallACTIVE3.41.20.5
Iliana RupertOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
New York Liberty14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Leonie FiebichACTIVE34.015.74.9
Breanna StewartACTIVE32.514.56.9
Sabrina IonescuACTIVE29.812.94.0
Jonquel JonesACTIVE26.611.89.5
Rebecca AllenACTIVE24.97.73.3
Pauline AstierACTIVE11.03.00.9
Marine JohannesACTIVE10.74.00.6
Han XuACTIVE8.93.62.0
Marine FauthouxACTIVE7.11.41.0
Rebekah GardnerACTIVE6.41.91.4
Raquel CarreraACTIVE3.80.30.9
Anneli MaleyACTIVE3.20.00.8
Elizabeth BalogunACTIVE1.10.30.1
Satou SaballyOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line

Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury

Washington Mystics14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Sonia CitronACTIVE31.314.33.4
Kiki IriafenACTIVE29.214.89.8
Shakira AustinACTIVE28.918.49.3
Georgia AmooreACTIVE22.85.42.0
Michaela OnyenwereACTIVE22.37.51.9
Lauren BettsACTIVE17.55.05.2
Cotie McMahonACTIVE16.46.12.7
Betnijah Laney-HamiltonACTIVE13.93.61.4
Alicia FlorezACTIVE6.51.71.0
Cassandre ProsperACTIVE3.91.00.5
Angela DugalicACTIVE2.40.90.6
Lucy OlsenACTIVE2.11.30.0
Rori HarmonACTIVE1.40.90.0
Add optional player line
Phoenix Mercury16 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Kahleah CopperACTIVE33.919.43.0
Alyssa ThomasACTIVE33.012.99.1
DeWanna BonnerACTIVE28.912.27.0
Noemie BrochantACTIVE25.77.91.3
Sami WhitcombACTIVE16.94.31.4
Natasha MackACTIVE15.95.84.1
Valeriane AyayiACTIVE12.63.51.6
Kelsey PlumQUESTIONABLE10.66.60.9
Lexi HeldACTIVE9.93.00.8
Maddy WestbeldACTIVE7.50.00.8
Kara DunnACTIVE1.70.60.2
Saylor PoffenbargerACTIVE1.70.60.2
Shay CiezkiACTIVE1.70.60.2
Jovana NogicOUT0.00.00.0
Kyara LinskensOUT0.00.00.0
Marta SuarezOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line

Matchup Stats

Season supporting evidence from stored ESPN completed box scores.

Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty

Golden State Valkyries at New York Liberty

Golden State ValkyriesNew York Liberty
84.0
Points
94.0
73.5
Points allowed
87.7
43.8%
Field goal %
48.0%
—
Opponent FG %
—
34.2
Rebounds
37.2
21.2
Assists
23.3
9.9
Turnovers
12.7
8.4
Steals
5.8
3.4
Blocks
3.7

Golden State Valkyries leaders

PTSJanelle Salaun14.1
REBKiah Stokes6.9
ASTVeronica Burton5.9
STLVeronica Burton2.0
BLKKiah Stokes1.7
3PMJanelle Salaun2.4

New York Liberty leaders

PTSLeonie Fiebich20.0
REBJonquel Jones9.8
ASTSabrina Ionescu6.0
STLBreanna Stewart1.1
BLKBreanna Stewart1.0
3PMLeonie Fiebich3.0
Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury

Washington Mystics at Phoenix Mercury

Washington MysticsPhoenix Mercury
87.8
Points
86.6
84.0
Points allowed
92.1
48.3%
Field goal %
45.6%
—
Opponent FG %
—
39.1
Rebounds
31.3
20.3
Assists
21.6
13.2
Turnovers
13.0
6.0
Steals
6.9
4.3
Blocks
3.0

Washington Mystics leaders

PTSShakira Austin20.8
REBKiki Iriafen9.6
ASTSonia Citron5.6
STLSonia Citron1.0
BLKShakira Austin1.5
3PMSonia Citron1.9

Phoenix Mercury leaders

PTSKahleah Copper21.7
REBAlyssa Thomas9.3
ASTAlyssa Thomas8.3
STLAlyssa Thomas1.6
BLKDeWanna Bonner1.0
3PMKahleah Copper1.8

2026 League-wide Stored Stat Leaders

These rankings cover the stored league sample and do not change when viewing a different matchup.

Points

1. Kelsey Mitchell28.4

2. A'ja Wilson24.8

3. Caitlin Clark23.4

4. Jackie Young22.5

5. Kahleah Copper21.7

Rebounds

1. Angel Reese14.5

2. Kamilla Cardoso10.3

3. Jonquel Jones9.8

4. Kiki Iriafen9.6

5. Shakira Austin9.6

Assists

1. Caitlin Clark9.1

2. Alyssa Thomas8.3

3. Olivia Miles7.2

4. Carla Leite7.0

5. Jackie Young6.2

Steals

1. Azzi Fudd2.5

2. Angel Reese2.0

3. Kennedy Burke2.0

4. Rhyne Howard2.0

5. Veronica Burton2.0

Blocks

1. Awak Kuier2.4

2. A'ja Wilson2.1

3. Cameron Brink2.1

4. Brittney Griner2.0

5. Dominique Malonga1.9

3-pointers made

1. Kayla McBride3.7

2. Rhyne Howard3.7

3. Marina Mabrey3.6

4. Kelsey Mitchell3.5

5. Caitlin Clark3.4