Triple Threat WNBA Mobile Snapshot

2026-08-24 · Captured 2026-08-24 18:37 UTC
Frozen pregame snapshot. 2 games loaded Lines and projections do not update on this page.
Golden State Valkyries 25-11
Minnesota Lynx 31-7
Scheduled · Target Center
ML+174 / -206
Spread-4.5 (-103 / -113)
Total161 (O -113 / U -107)
pinnacle
Golden State Valkyries
Off Rating#7109.9 ▼ Def Rating#1101.1 ▼ Net Rating#28.8 ▲ Pace#1591.1
Minnesota Lynx
Off Rating#2113.9 ▲ Def Rating#3103.4 ▲ Net Rating#110.5 ▼ Pace#797.4 ▼
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v7-final-role-distribution
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Golden State Valkyries82.8
–
Minnesota Lynx74.7
Scoring range (P20 / median / P80) 74.3 / 82.8 / 91.3 68.8 / 74.7 / 80.6 Total range148.7 / 157.5 / 166.3
Golden State Valkyries79.4%Minnesota Lynx20.6%
Possessions78.5 Model spreadMinnesota Lynx +8.1 Model total157.5 Game-script reliability76.2%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread-4.5+12.6 Total161-3.5 Moneyline67.3%-46.8%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerGolden State Valkyries 79.4%
SpreadGolden State Valkyries +4.5 · Bet
TotalUnder 161 · Lean
Best playMoneyline: Golden State Valkyries
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 76.2/100
Minnesota LynxLine ML · -206
Model15.9%
Edge (no-vig)-48.9 pp
Fair+529
Projection -9.6 · Break-even 67.3% · No-vig 64.8%
Golden State ValkyriesLine ML · +174
Model84.1%
Edge (no-vig)+48.9 pp
Fair-529
Projection 9.6 · Break-even 36.5% · No-vig 35.1%
SPREADReliability 76.2/100
Minnesota LynxLine -4.5 · -113
Model7.1%
Edge (no-vig)-44.0 pp
Fair+1303
Projection -9.6 · Break-even 53.0% · No-vig 51.1%
Golden State ValkyriesLine 4.5 · -103
Model92.9%
Edge (no-vig)+44.0 pp
Fair-1303
Projection 9.6 · Break-even 50.7% · No-vig 48.9%
TOTALReliability 76.2/100
OverLine 161 · -113
Model48.0%
Edge (no-vig)-2.6 pp
Fair+108
Projection 160.2 · Break-even 53.0% · No-vig 50.6%
UnderLine 161 · -107
Model52.0%
Edge (no-vig)+2.6 pp
Fair-108
Projection 160.2 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 49.4%
Atlanta Dream 24-13
Los Angeles Sparks 13-24
Scheduled · crypto.com Arena
ML-526 / +410
Spread10.5 (-109 / -107)
Total181.5 (O -116 / U -104)
pinnacle
Atlanta Dream
Off Rating#5110.5 ▼ Def Rating#4104.8 ▼ Net Rating#45.7 Pace#497.7 ▲
Los Angeles Sparks
Off Rating#10106.5 ▼ Def Rating#14112.1 ▼ Net Rating#12-5.6 ▼ Pace#398.9
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v7-final-role-distribution
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Atlanta Dream88.5
–
Los Angeles Sparks88.3
Scoring range (P20 / median / P80) 75 / 88.5 / 102 80.3 / 88.3 / 96.3 Total range163.5 / 176.8 / 190.1
Atlanta Dream50.5%Los Angeles Sparks49.5%
Possessions81.9 Model spreadLos Angeles Sparks +0.2 Model total176.8 Game-script reliability72.3%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread+10.5-10.3 Total181.5-4.7 Moneyline19.6%+29.8%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerAtlanta Dream 50.5%
SpreadLos Angeles Sparks +10.5 · Bet
TotalUnder 181.5 · Bet
Best playSpread: Los Angeles Sparks +10.5
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 72.3/100
Los Angeles SparksLine ML · +410
Model45.1%
Edge (no-vig)+26.2 pp
Fair+121
Projection -1.7 · Break-even 19.6% · No-vig 18.9%
Atlanta DreamLine ML · -526
Model54.9%
Edge (no-vig)-26.2 pp
Fair-121
Projection 1.7 · Break-even 84.0% · No-vig 81.1%
SPREADReliability 72.3/100
Los Angeles SparksLine 10.5 · -107
Model73.5%
Edge (no-vig)+23.8 pp
Fair-278
Projection -1.7 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 49.8%
Atlanta DreamLine -10.5 · -109
Model26.5%
Edge (no-vig)-23.8 pp
Fair+278
Projection 1.7 · Break-even 52.1% · No-vig 50.2%
TOTALReliability 72.3/100
OverLine 181.5 · -116
Model46.6%
Edge (no-vig)-4.7 pp
Fair+114
Projection 179.5 · Break-even 53.7% · No-vig 51.3%
UnderLine 181.5 · -104
Model53.4%
Edge (no-vig)+4.7 pp
Fair-114
Projection 179.5 · Break-even 51.0% · No-vig 48.7%

Player PTS & REB Projections

Pregame outputs from projected rotations and stored ESPN box-score history.

player-pr-v1

Golden State Valkyries at Minnesota Lynx

Golden State Valkyries15 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Veronica BurtonACTIVE28.413.53.8
Gabby WilliamsACTIVE23.413.23.1
Kayla ThorntonACTIVE23.47.23.1
Tiffany HayesACTIVE21.813.74.6
Cecilia ZandalasiniACTIVE21.58.73.6
Kiah StokesACTIVE15.72.74.4
Janelle SalaunACTIVE15.39.82.4
Kaila CharlesACTIVE13.34.22.2
Ashten PrechtelACTIVE13.22.22.2
Kaitlyn ChenACTIVE10.62.70.7
Laeticia AmihereACTIVE8.92.72.1
Juste JocyteACTIVE1.51.50.0
Miela SowahACTIVE1.50.60.2
Nadia FingallACTIVE1.50.00.0
Iliana RupertOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
Minnesota Lynx14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Kayla McBrideACTIVE35.517.51.8
Napheesa CollierACTIVE34.916.97.9
Olivia MilesACTIVE34.418.84.2
Natasha HowardACTIVE32.212.17.9
Nia CoffeyACTIVE20.04.13.2
Maya CaldwellACTIVE11.61.81.9
Dorka JuhaszACTIVE11.11.71.7
Antonia DelaereACTIVE6.10.30.3
Chloe BibbyACTIVE5.30.01.0
Eliska JoklovaACTIVE2.60.50.8
Anastasiia Olairi KosuACTIVE2.10.00.0
Elena BuenavidaACTIVE2.10.60.3
Liatu KingACTIVE2.10.40.3
Courtney WilliamsOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line

Atlanta Dream at Los Angeles Sparks

Atlanta Dream14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Rhyne HowardACTIVE34.720.43.3
Angel ReeseACTIVE33.516.713.8
Allisha GrayACTIVE32.818.64.1
Jordin CanadaACTIVE30.011.13.9
Naz HillmonACTIVE29.48.05.0
Isobel BorlaseACTIVE11.62.81.2
Madina OkotACTIVE8.83.73.0
Jaylyn SherrodACTIVE5.41.30.7
Te-Hina PaopaoACTIVE4.82.30.2
Aaliyah NyeACTIVE3.01.20.4
Sika KoneACTIVE2.10.70.4
Indya NivarACTIVE1.40.50.1
Brionna JonesOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
Los Angeles Sparks13 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Rae BurrellACTIVE30.518.72.3
Nneka OgwumikeACTIVE30.015.38.4
Dearica HambyACTIVE27.515.46.3
Ariel AtkinsACTIVE25.56.92.9
Erica WheelerACTIVE25.110.22.1
Cameron BrinkACTIVE12.26.33.6
Monique Akoa MakaniACTIVE9.72.50.9
Tonie MorganACTIVE9.53.80.6
Chance GrayACTIVE7.92.60.9
Alissa PiliACTIVE6.62.01.6
Jihyun ParkACTIVE6.01.70.5
Kate MartinACTIVE5.11.01.6
Emma CannonACTIVE4.41.81.4
Add optional player line