Triple Threat WNBA Mobile Snapshot

2026-08-22 · Captured 2026-08-23 01:33 UTC
Frozen pregame snapshot. 3 games loaded Lines and projections do not update on this page.
Indiana Fever 24-14
New York Liberty 23-15
Final · Barclays Center
Indiana Fever 102New York Liberty 109
ML+134 / -157
Spread-3.5 (-112 / -105)
Total186.5 (O -118 / U -103)
pinnacle
Indiana Fever
Off Rating115.0 ▼ Def Rating107.8 ▼ Net Rating7.2 ▼ Pace99.3
New York Liberty
Off Rating111.3 ▼ Def Rating107.6 Net Rating3.8 ▼ Pace96.6 ▲
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v6-volatility-rotation
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Indiana Fever84.9
–
New York Liberty88.1
Indiana Fever37.4%New York Liberty62.6%
Possessions81.6 Model spreadNew York Liberty -3.2 Model total173 Game-script reliability64.5%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread-3.5+0.3 Total186.5-13.5 Moneyline61.1%+1.5%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerNew York Liberty 62.6%
SpreadPass
TotalUnder 186.5 · Bet
Best playTotal: Under 186.5
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 75.5/100
Indiana FeverLine ML · +134
Model42.2%
Edge (no-vig)+1.0 pp
Fair+137
Projection -1.79 · Break-even 42.7% · No-vig 41.2%
New York LibertyLine ML · -157
Model57.8%
Edge (no-vig)-1.0 pp
Fair-137
Projection 1.79 · Break-even 61.1% · No-vig 58.8%
SPREADReliability 75.5/100
Indiana FeverLine 3.5 · -112
Model57.5%
Edge (no-vig)+6.7 pp
Fair-135
Projection -1.79 · Break-even 52.8% · No-vig 50.8%
New York LibertyLine -3.5 · -105
Model42.5%
Edge (no-vig)-6.7 pp
Fair+135
Projection 1.79 · Break-even 51.2% · No-vig 49.2%
TOTALReliability 75.5/100
OverLine 186.5 · -118
Model34.6%
Edge (no-vig)-17.0 pp
Fair+189
Projection 181.41 · Break-even 54.1% · No-vig 51.6%
UnderLine 186.5 · -103
Model65.3%
Edge (no-vig)+17.0 pp
Fair-189
Projection 181.41 · Break-even 50.7% · No-vig 48.4%
PLAYER POINTSReliability 75.5/100
Aliyah Boston OverLine 15.5 · -123
Model46.8%
Edge (no-vig)-4.7 pp
Fair+114
Projection 15.6 · Break-even 55.2% · No-vig 51.5%
Aliyah Boston UnderLine 15.5 · -108
Model53.2%
Edge (no-vig)+4.7 pp
Fair-114
Projection 15.6 · Break-even 51.9% · No-vig 48.5%
Breanna Stewart OverLine 22.5 · -114
Model24.4%
Edge (no-vig)-25.3 pp
Fair+310
Projection 17.3 · Break-even 53.3% · No-vig 49.7%
Breanna Stewart UnderLine 22.5 · -117
Model75.6%
Edge (no-vig)+25.3 pp
Fair-310
Projection 17.3 · Break-even 53.9% · No-vig 50.3%
Caitlin Clark OverLine 23.5 · -117
Model7.1%
Edge (no-vig)-43.3 pp
Fair+1313
Projection 13.9 · Break-even 53.9% · No-vig 50.4%
Caitlin Clark UnderLine 23.5 · -113
Model92.9%
Edge (no-vig)+43.3 pp
Fair-1313
Projection 13.9 · Break-even 53.0% · No-vig 49.6%
Jonquel Jones OverLine 14.5 · -125
Model44.2%
Edge (no-vig)-7.7 pp
Fair+126
Projection 14.1 · Break-even 55.6% · No-vig 51.9%
Jonquel Jones UnderLine 14.5 · -106
Model55.8%
Edge (no-vig)+7.7 pp
Fair-126
Projection 14.1 · Break-even 51.5% · No-vig 48.1%
Kelsey Mitchell OverLine 24.5 · -127
Model67.0%
Edge (no-vig)+14.8 pp
Fair-203
Projection 26.8 · Break-even 56.0% · No-vig 52.2%
Kelsey Mitchell UnderLine 24.5 · -105
Model33.0%
Edge (no-vig)-14.8 pp
Fair+203
Projection 26.8 · Break-even 51.2% · No-vig 47.8%
Makayla Timpson OverLine 8.5 · -107
Model46.9%
Edge (no-vig)-1.4 pp
Fair+113
Projection 8.7 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 48.3%
Makayla Timpson UnderLine 8.5 · -124
Model53.1%
Edge (no-vig)+1.4 pp
Fair-113
Projection 8.7 · Break-even 55.4% · No-vig 51.7%
Pauline Astier OverLine 7.5 · +103
Model34.2%
Edge (no-vig)-11.8 pp
Fair+193
Projection 6.5 · Break-even 49.3% · No-vig 46.0%
Pauline Astier UnderLine 7.5 · -137
Model65.8%
Edge (no-vig)+11.8 pp
Fair-193
Projection 6.5 · Break-even 57.8% · No-vig 54.0%
Rebecca Allen OverLine 7.5 · -109
Model65.5%
Edge (no-vig)+16.8 pp
Fair-190
Projection 10 · Break-even 52.1% · No-vig 48.7%
Rebecca Allen UnderLine 7.5 · -122
Model34.5%
Edge (no-vig)-16.8 pp
Fair+190
Projection 10 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 51.3%
Sabrina Ionescu OverLine 17.5 · -126
Model54.9%
Edge (no-vig)+2.7 pp
Fair-122
Projection 17 · Break-even 55.8% · No-vig 52.1%
Sabrina Ionescu UnderLine 17.5 · -105
Model45.1%
Edge (no-vig)-2.7 pp
Fair+122
Projection 17 · Break-even 51.2% · No-vig 47.9%
Sophie Cunningham OverLine 7.5 · +103
Model31.3%
Edge (no-vig)-15.3 pp
Fair+219
Projection 5.3 · Break-even 49.3% · No-vig 46.7%
Sophie Cunningham UnderLine 7.5 · -129
Model68.7%
Edge (no-vig)+15.3 pp
Fair-219
Projection 5.3 · Break-even 56.3% · No-vig 53.3%
PLAYER REBOUNDSReliability 75.5/100
Aliyah Boston OverLine 9.5 · +107
Model50.9%
Edge (no-vig)+6.0 pp
Fair-104
Projection 9.6 · Break-even 48.3% · No-vig 44.9%
Aliyah Boston UnderLine 9.5 · -146
Model49.1%
Edge (no-vig)-6.0 pp
Fair+104
Projection 9.6 · Break-even 59.4% · No-vig 55.1%
Breanna Stewart OverLine 8.5 · +101
Model21.0%
Edge (no-vig)-25.3 pp
Fair+376
Projection 6.7 · Break-even 49.8% · No-vig 46.3%
Breanna Stewart UnderLine 8.5 · -137
Model79.0%
Edge (no-vig)+25.3 pp
Fair-376
Projection 6.7 · Break-even 57.8% · No-vig 53.7%
Caitlin Clark OverLine 4.5 · +112
Model7.3%
Edge (no-vig)-36.5 pp
Fair+1272
Projection 2.1 · Break-even 47.2% · No-vig 43.8%
Caitlin Clark UnderLine 4.5 · -153
Model92.7%
Edge (no-vig)+36.5 pp
Fair-1272
Projection 2.1 · Break-even 60.5% · No-vig 56.2%
Jonquel Jones OverLine 8.5 · -140
Model58.4%
Edge (no-vig)+4.2 pp
Fair-140
Projection 9.5 · Break-even 58.3% · No-vig 54.2%
Jonquel Jones UnderLine 8.5 · +103
Model41.6%
Edge (no-vig)-4.2 pp
Fair+140
Projection 9.5 · Break-even 49.3% · No-vig 45.8%
Makayla Timpson OverLine 7.5 · +107
Model41.2%
Edge (no-vig)-3.7 pp
Fair+142
Projection 7.4 · Break-even 48.3% · No-vig 44.9%
Makayla Timpson UnderLine 7.5 · -145
Model58.8%
Edge (no-vig)+3.7 pp
Fair-142
Projection 7.4 · Break-even 59.2% · No-vig 55.1%
Rebecca Allen OverLine 2.5 · -134
Model62.7%
Edge (no-vig)+9.6 pp
Fair-168
Projection 3.9 · Break-even 57.3% · No-vig 53.1%
Rebecca Allen UnderLine 2.5 · -102
Model37.3%
Edge (no-vig)-9.6 pp
Fair+168
Projection 3.9 · Break-even 50.5% · No-vig 46.9%
Sabrina Ionescu OverLine 4.5 · +103
Model46.6%
Edge (no-vig)+0.8 pp
Fair+115
Projection 4.4 · Break-even 49.3% · No-vig 45.8%
Sabrina Ionescu UnderLine 4.5 · -140
Model53.4%
Edge (no-vig)-0.8 pp
Fair-115
Projection 4.4 · Break-even 58.3% · No-vig 54.2%
FINAL RESULT · BACKTEST
Indiana Fever102 model 84.9 · error -17.1
New York Liberty109 model 88.1 · error -20.9
Margin error-3.8 pts Total error-38.0 pts
Connecticut Sun 9-26
Los Angeles Sparks 12-24
End of Period · crypto.com Arena
ML+170 / -201
Spread-5 (-105 / -111)
Total171 (O -108 / U -112)
pinnacle
Connecticut Sun
Off Rating98.8 ▲ Def Rating108.2 ▼ Net Rating-9.5 ▲ Pace96.0
Los Angeles Sparks
Off Rating106.5 ▼ Def Rating112.1 ▼ Net Rating-5.6 ▼ Pace98.9
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v6-volatility-rotation
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Connecticut Sun83.1
–
Los Angeles Sparks90.4
Connecticut Sun28.6%Los Angeles Sparks71.4%
Possessions81.2 Model spreadLos Angeles Sparks -7.3 Model total173.5 Game-script reliability75.1%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread-5.0-2.3 Total171+2.5 Moneyline66.8%+4.7%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerLos Angeles Sparks 71.4%
SpreadLos Angeles Sparks · Lean
TotalOver 171 · Lean
Best playMoneyline: Los Angeles Sparks
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 75.1/100
Los Angeles SparksLine ML · -201
Model70.4%
Edge (no-vig)+6.0 pp
Fair-237
Projection 6.05 · Break-even 66.8% · No-vig 64.3%
Connecticut SunLine ML · +170
Model29.6%
Edge (no-vig)-6.0 pp
Fair+237
Projection -6.05 · Break-even 37.0% · No-vig 35.7%
SPREADReliability 75.1/100
Los Angeles SparksLine -5 · -111
Model53.7%
Edge (no-vig)+3.0 pp
Fair-116
Projection 6.05 · Break-even 52.6% · No-vig 50.7%
Connecticut SunLine 5 · -105
Model46.3%
Edge (no-vig)-3.0 pp
Fair+116
Projection -6.05 · Break-even 51.2% · No-vig 49.3%
TOTALReliability 75.1/100
OverLine 171 · -108
Model57.2%
Edge (no-vig)+7.7 pp
Fair-134
Projection 174.37 · Break-even 51.9% · No-vig 49.6%
UnderLine 171 · -112
Model42.8%
Edge (no-vig)-7.7 pp
Fair+134
Projection 174.37 · Break-even 52.8% · No-vig 50.4%
PLAYER POINTSReliability 75.1/100
Saniya Rivers OverLine 8.5 · +105
Model34.2%
Edge (no-vig)-11.4 pp
Fair+193
Projection 6.8 · Break-even 48.8% · No-vig 45.5%
Saniya Rivers UnderLine 8.5 · -140
Model65.8%
Edge (no-vig)+11.4 pp
Fair-193
Projection 6.8 · Break-even 58.3% · No-vig 54.5%
Ariel Atkins OverLine 8.5 · +108
Model38.7%
Edge (no-vig)-7.9 pp
Fair+159
Projection 7.1 · Break-even 48.1% · No-vig 46.6%
Ariel Atkins UnderLine 8.5 · -123
Model61.3%
Edge (no-vig)+7.9 pp
Fair-159
Projection 7.1 · Break-even 55.2% · No-vig 53.4%
Erica Wheeler OverLine 8.5 · -113
Model59.5%
Edge (no-vig)+9.9 pp
Fair-147
Projection 10 · Break-even 53.0% · No-vig 49.6%
Erica Wheeler UnderLine 8.5 · -117
Model40.5%
Edge (no-vig)-9.9 pp
Fair+147
Projection 10 · Break-even 53.9% · No-vig 50.4%
Cameron Brink OverLine 8.5 · -116
Model27.2%
Edge (no-vig)-22.9 pp
Fair+267
Projection 6.3 · Break-even 53.7% · No-vig 50.1%
Cameron Brink UnderLine 8.5 · -115
Model72.8%
Edge (no-vig)+22.9 pp
Fair-267
Projection 6.3 · Break-even 53.5% · No-vig 49.9%
Charlisse Leger-Walker OverLine 8.5 · -120
Model58.6%
Edge (no-vig)+7.6 pp
Fair-142
Projection 9.2 · Break-even 54.5% · No-vig 51.0%
Charlisse Leger-Walker UnderLine 8.5 · -110
Model41.4%
Edge (no-vig)-7.6 pp
Fair+142
Projection 9.2 · Break-even 52.4% · No-vig 49.0%
Kennedy Burke OverLine 9.5 · -104
Model74.4%
Edge (no-vig)+26.8 pp
Fair-290
Projection 13.4 · Break-even 51.0% · No-vig 47.6%
Kennedy Burke UnderLine 9.5 · -128
Model25.6%
Edge (no-vig)-26.8 pp
Fair+290
Projection 13.4 · Break-even 56.1% · No-vig 52.4%
Diamond Miller OverLine 12.5 · -103
Model44.5%
Edge (no-vig)-3.0 pp
Fair+125
Projection 10.7 · Break-even 50.7% · No-vig 47.5%
Diamond Miller UnderLine 12.5 · -128
Model55.5%
Edge (no-vig)+3.0 pp
Fair-125
Projection 10.7 · Break-even 56.1% · No-vig 52.5%
Leila Lacan OverLine 12.5 · -110
Model22.1%
Edge (no-vig)-26.8 pp
Fair+352
Projection 10 · Break-even 52.4% · No-vig 48.9%
Leila Lacan UnderLine 12.5 · -121
Model77.9%
Edge (no-vig)+26.8 pp
Fair-352
Projection 10 · Break-even 54.8% · No-vig 51.1%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa OverLine 13.5 · -124
Model51.7%
Edge (no-vig)+0.0 pp
Fair-107
Projection 14 · Break-even 55.4% · No-vig 51.7%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa UnderLine 13.5 · -107
Model48.3%
Edge (no-vig)+0.0 pp
Fair+107
Projection 14 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 48.3%
Dearica Hamby OverLine 14.5 · -101
Model66.1%
Edge (no-vig)+19.1 pp
Fair-195
Projection 16.8 · Break-even 50.2% · No-vig 47.0%
Dearica Hamby UnderLine 14.5 · -131
Model33.9%
Edge (no-vig)-19.1 pp
Fair+195
Projection 16.8 · Break-even 56.7% · No-vig 53.0%
Nneka Ogwumike OverLine 15.5 · -104
Model58.9%
Edge (no-vig)+11.3 pp
Fair-144
Projection 16.1 · Break-even 51.0% · No-vig 47.6%
Nneka Ogwumike UnderLine 15.5 · -128
Model41.1%
Edge (no-vig)-11.3 pp
Fair+144
Projection 16.1 · Break-even 56.1% · No-vig 52.4%
Rae Burrell OverLine 16.5 · -104
Model60.7%
Edge (no-vig)+13.1 pp
Fair-155
Projection 18.7 · Break-even 51.0% · No-vig 47.7%
Rae Burrell UnderLine 16.5 · -127
Model39.3%
Edge (no-vig)-13.1 pp
Fair+155
Projection 18.7 · Break-even 56.0% · No-vig 52.3%
PLAYER REBOUNDSReliability 75.1/100
Leila Lacan OverLine 2.5 · +116
Model31.5%
Edge (no-vig)-11.7 pp
Fair+218
Projection 1.6 · Break-even 46.3% · No-vig 43.1%
Leila Lacan UnderLine 2.5 · -157
Model68.5%
Edge (no-vig)+11.7 pp
Fair-218
Projection 1.6 · Break-even 61.1% · No-vig 56.9%
Ariel Atkins OverLine 2.5 · -108
Model46.6%
Edge (no-vig)-1.7 pp
Fair+115
Projection 2.4 · Break-even 51.9% · No-vig 48.3%
Ariel Atkins UnderLine 2.5 · -125
Model53.4%
Edge (no-vig)+1.7 pp
Fair-115
Projection 2.4 · Break-even 55.6% · No-vig 51.7%
Rae Burrell OverLine 2.5 · -122
Model46.6%
Edge (no-vig)-4.4 pp
Fair+115
Projection 2.4 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 51.0%
Rae Burrell UnderLine 2.5 · -112
Model53.4%
Edge (no-vig)+4.4 pp
Fair-115
Projection 2.4 · Break-even 52.8% · No-vig 49.0%
Cameron Brink OverLine 4.5 · -129
Model29.6%
Edge (no-vig)-22.7 pp
Fair+238
Projection 3.9 · Break-even 56.3% · No-vig 52.3%
Cameron Brink UnderLine 4.5 · -106
Model70.4%
Edge (no-vig)+22.7 pp
Fair-238
Projection 3.9 · Break-even 51.5% · No-vig 47.7%
Dearica Hamby OverLine 6.5 · -122
Model48.9%
Edge (no-vig)-2.2 pp
Fair+105
Projection 6.6 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 51.1%
Dearica Hamby UnderLine 6.5 · -111
Model51.1%
Edge (no-vig)+2.2 pp
Fair-105
Projection 6.6 · Break-even 52.6% · No-vig 48.9%
Nneka Ogwumike OverLine 7.5 · +101
Model51.5%
Edge (no-vig)+5.0 pp
Fair-106
Projection 8 · Break-even 49.8% · No-vig 46.6%
Nneka Ogwumike UnderLine 7.5 · -133
Model48.5%
Edge (no-vig)-5.0 pp
Fair+106
Projection 8 · Break-even 57.1% · No-vig 53.4%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa OverLine 8.5 · -111
Model40.4%
Edge (no-vig)-8.5 pp
Fair+148
Projection 6.7 · Break-even 52.6% · No-vig 48.9%
Olivia Nelson-Ododa UnderLine 8.5 · -122
Model59.6%
Edge (no-vig)+8.5 pp
Fair-148
Projection 6.7 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 51.1%
Atlanta Dream 23-13
Phoenix Mercury 13-23
Scheduled · Mortgage Matchup Center
ML-309 / +253
Spread7.5 (-111 / -105)
Total177.5 (O -109 / U -111)
pinnacle
Atlanta Dream
Off Rating110.5 ▼ Def Rating104.8 ▼ Net Rating5.7 Pace97.7 ▲
Phoenix Mercury
Off Rating104.5 ▲ Def Rating108.9 Net Rating-4.4 Pace96.0
MODEL PROJECTION matchup-v6-volatility-rotation
PLAYER DATA LOADED
Atlanta Dream86.6
–
Phoenix Mercury77.3
Atlanta Dream77.1%Phoenix Mercury22.9%
Possessions80.7 Model spreadPhoenix Mercury +9.3 Model total163.9 Game-script reliability74.8%
MARKET COMPARISON
MarketDifference Spread+7.5+1.8 Total177.5-13.6 Moneyline28.3%-5.5%
MODEL DECISION
Predicted winnerAtlanta Dream 77.1%
SpreadAtlanta Dream · Lean
TotalUnder 177.5 · Bet
Best playTotal: Under 177.5
Early thresholds · a pass is intentional.
LINE-SPECIFIC PROBABILITIES selection-prob-v2
MONEYLINEReliability 74.8/100
Phoenix MercuryLine ML · +253
Model16.8%
Edge (no-vig)-10.4 pp
Fair+494
Projection -10.54 · Break-even 28.3% · No-vig 27.3%
Atlanta DreamLine ML · -309
Model83.2%
Edge (no-vig)+10.4 pp
Fair-494
Projection 10.54 · Break-even 75.5% · No-vig 72.7%
SPREADReliability 74.8/100
Phoenix MercuryLine 7.5 · -105
Model39.1%
Edge (no-vig)-10.3 pp
Fair+156
Projection -10.54 · Break-even 51.2% · No-vig 49.3%
Atlanta DreamLine -7.5 · -111
Model60.9%
Edge (no-vig)+10.3 pp
Fair-156
Projection 10.54 · Break-even 52.6% · No-vig 50.7%
TOTALReliability 74.8/100
OverLine 177.5 · -109
Model23.9%
Edge (no-vig)-25.9 pp
Fair+318
Projection 164.77 · Break-even 52.1% · No-vig 49.8%
UnderLine 177.5 · -111
Model76.1%
Edge (no-vig)+25.9 pp
Fair-318
Projection 164.77 · Break-even 52.6% · No-vig 50.2%
PLAYER POINTSReliability 74.8/100
Naz Hillmon OverLine 8.5 · -124
Model41.2%
Edge (no-vig)-10.5 pp
Fair+142
Projection 7.9 · Break-even 55.4% · No-vig 51.7%
Naz Hillmon UnderLine 8.5 · -107
Model58.8%
Edge (no-vig)+10.5 pp
Fair-142
Projection 7.9 · Break-even 51.7% · No-vig 48.3%
Jordin Canada OverLine 10.5 · -128
Model52.3%
Edge (no-vig)-0.1 pp
Fair-110
Projection 11.5 · Break-even 56.1% · No-vig 52.4%
Jordin Canada UnderLine 10.5 · -104
Model47.7%
Edge (no-vig)+0.1 pp
Fair+110
Projection 11.5 · Break-even 51.0% · No-vig 47.6%
DeWanna Bonner OverLine 10.5 · -129
Model67.5%
Edge (no-vig)+14.8 pp
Fair-207
Projection 13.8 · Break-even 56.3% · No-vig 52.6%
DeWanna Bonner UnderLine 10.5 · -103
Model32.6%
Edge (no-vig)-14.8 pp
Fair+207
Projection 13.8 · Break-even 50.7% · No-vig 47.4%
Kelsey PlumInsufficient data
Alyssa Thomas OverLine 14.5 · -102
Model59.3%
Edge (no-vig)+12.1 pp
Fair-146
Projection 14.9 · Break-even 50.5% · No-vig 47.2%
Alyssa Thomas UnderLine 14.5 · -130
Model40.7%
Edge (no-vig)-12.1 pp
Fair+146
Projection 14.9 · Break-even 56.5% · No-vig 52.8%
Angel Reese OverLine 16.5 · -117
Model42.2%
Edge (no-vig)-8.1 pp
Fair+137
Projection 14.5 · Break-even 53.9% · No-vig 50.3%
Angel Reese UnderLine 16.5 · -114
Model57.8%
Edge (no-vig)+8.1 pp
Fair-137
Projection 14.5 · Break-even 53.3% · No-vig 49.7%
Rhyne Howard OverLine 19.5 · -118
Model57.6%
Edge (no-vig)+7.0 pp
Fair-136
Projection 20.1 · Break-even 54.1% · No-vig 50.6%
Rhyne Howard UnderLine 19.5 · -112
Model42.4%
Edge (no-vig)-7.0 pp
Fair+136
Projection 20.1 · Break-even 52.8% · No-vig 49.4%
Allisha Gray OverLine 19.5 · -122
Model42.6%
Edge (no-vig)-8.8 pp
Fair+135
Projection 18.3 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 51.4%
Allisha Gray UnderLine 19.5 · -108
Model57.4%
Edge (no-vig)+8.8 pp
Fair-135
Projection 18.3 · Break-even 51.9% · No-vig 48.6%
Kahleah Copper OverLine 20.5 · -108
Model38.3%
Edge (no-vig)-10.3 pp
Fair+161
Projection 19.2 · Break-even 51.9% · No-vig 48.6%
Kahleah Copper UnderLine 20.5 · -122
Model61.7%
Edge (no-vig)+10.3 pp
Fair-161
Projection 19.2 · Break-even 54.9% · No-vig 51.4%
PLAYER REBOUNDSReliability 74.8/100
Kahleah Copper OverLine 3.5 · +121
Model43.5%
Edge (no-vig)+1.4 pp
Fair+130
Projection 3.1 · Break-even 45.3% · No-vig 42.1%
Kahleah Copper UnderLine 3.5 · -165
Model56.5%
Edge (no-vig)-1.4 pp
Fair-130
Projection 3.1 · Break-even 62.3% · No-vig 57.9%
Allisha Gray OverLine 3.5 · +118
Model49.1%
Edge (no-vig)+6.5 pp
Fair+104
Projection 3.8 · Break-even 45.9% · No-vig 42.6%
Allisha Gray UnderLine 3.5 · -161
Model50.9%
Edge (no-vig)-6.5 pp
Fair-104
Projection 3.8 · Break-even 61.7% · No-vig 57.4%
Jordin Canada OverLine 3.5 · -108
Model62.7%
Edge (no-vig)+14.4 pp
Fair-168
Projection 4.3 · Break-even 51.9% · No-vig 48.3%
Jordin Canada UnderLine 3.5 · -125
Model37.3%
Edge (no-vig)-14.4 pp
Fair+168
Projection 4.3 · Break-even 55.6% · No-vig 51.7%
Rhyne Howard OverLine 3.5 · -115
Model47.6%
Edge (no-vig)-2.1 pp
Fair+110
Projection 3.3 · Break-even 53.5% · No-vig 49.7%
Rhyne Howard UnderLine 3.5 · -118
Model52.4%
Edge (no-vig)+2.1 pp
Fair-110
Projection 3.3 · Break-even 54.1% · No-vig 50.3%
Naz Hillmon OverLine 4.5 · -136
Model59.4%
Edge (no-vig)+5.8 pp
Fair-146
Projection 4.9 · Break-even 57.6% · No-vig 53.5%
Naz Hillmon UnderLine 4.5 · +100
Model40.6%
Edge (no-vig)-5.8 pp
Fair+146
Projection 4.9 · Break-even 50.0% · No-vig 46.5%
DeWanna Bonner OverLine 6.5 · -115
Model61.8%
Edge (no-vig)+12.1 pp
Fair-162
Projection 7.3 · Break-even 53.5% · No-vig 49.7%
DeWanna Bonner UnderLine 6.5 · -118
Model38.2%
Edge (no-vig)-12.1 pp
Fair+162
Projection 7.3 · Break-even 54.1% · No-vig 50.3%
Alyssa Thomas OverLine 8.5 · -117
Model51.2%
Edge (no-vig)+1.1 pp
Fair-105
Projection 9 · Break-even 53.9% · No-vig 50.1%
Alyssa Thomas UnderLine 8.5 · -116
Model48.8%
Edge (no-vig)-1.1 pp
Fair+105
Projection 9 · Break-even 53.7% · No-vig 49.9%
Angel Reese OverLine 12.5 · -135
Model61.0%
Edge (no-vig)+7.7 pp
Fair-156
Projection 13.3 · Break-even 57.5% · No-vig 53.3%
Angel Reese UnderLine 12.5 · -101
Model39.0%
Edge (no-vig)-7.7 pp
Fair+156
Projection 13.3 · Break-even 50.2% · No-vig 46.7%

Player PTS & REB Projections

Pregame outputs from projected rotations and stored ESPN box-score history.

player-pr-v1

Indiana Fever at New York Liberty

Indiana Fever15 roster players
Pregame projection → actual result
PlayerMin P/APTS P/AREB P/A
Kelsey MitchellACTIVE33.0→ 33.026.8→ 25.02.0→ 0.0
Aliyah BostonACTIVE30.2→ 30.015.6→ 22.09.6→ 3.0
Makayla TimpsonACTIVE30.1→ 19.08.7→ 10.07.4→ 6.0
Caitlin ClarkDAY_TO_DAY23.4→ 35.013.9→ 21.02.1→ 4.0
Sophie CunninghamACTIVE23.4→ 28.05.3→ 10.02.2→ 2.0
Lexie HullACTIVE16.0→ 12.03.6→ 0.02.9→ 2.0
Monique BillingsACTIVE15.3→ 14.05.3→ 4.02.9→ 2.0
Tyasha HarrisACTIVE13.6→ 12.03.3→ 6.01.0→ 1.0
Myisha Hines-AllenACTIVE8.2→ 14.01.2→ 4.01.8→ 7.0
Raven JohnsonACTIVE3.8→ —0.5→ —0.1→ —
Mercedes RussellACTIVE2.0→ 3.01.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.0
Grace VanSlootenACTIVE1.0→ —0.0→ —0.0→ —
Bree HallACTIVE0.0→ —0.0→ —0.0→ —
Damiris DantasACTIVE0.0→ —0.0→ —0.0→ —
Michelle OnyiahOUT0.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.0
Add optional player line
New York Liberty14 roster players
Pregame projection → actual result
PlayerMin P/APTS P/AREB P/A
Breanna StewartACTIVE30.8→ 35.017.3→ 22.06.7→ 8.0
Sabrina IonescuACTIVE29.7→ 32.017.0→ 12.04.4→ 3.0
Rebecca AllenACTIVE26.1→ 16.010.0→ 9.03.9→ 1.0
Jonquel JonesACTIVE25.1→ 29.014.1→ 19.09.5→ 10.0
Marine JohannesACTIVE21.7→ 13.011.1→ 6.01.2→ 2.0
Pauline AstierACTIVE18.0→ 24.06.5→ 8.01.5→ 3.0
Han XuACTIVE16.4→ 11.08.2→ 9.04.1→ 1.0
Rebekah GardnerACTIVE13.3→ 6.04.9→ 4.03.2→ 1.0
Marine FauthouxACTIVE12.3→ —2.9→ —1.8→ —
Raquel CarreraACTIVE6.6→ —0.9→ —1.6→ —
Anneli MaleyOUT0.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.0
Elizabeth BalogunOUT0.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.0
Leonie FiebichACTIVE0.0→ 34.00.0→ 20.00.0→ 5.0
Satou SaballyOUT0.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.00.0→ 0.0
Add optional player line

Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks

Connecticut Sun14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Leila LacanACTIVE27.010.01.6
Charlisse Leger-WalkerACTIVE26.09.23.0
Olivia Nelson-OdodaACTIVE23.314.06.7
Kennedy BurkeACTIVE22.413.43.0
Diamond MillerACTIVE21.910.73.1
Saniya RiversACTIVE21.46.83.4
Hailey Van LithACTIVE14.14.71.5
Nell AnglomaACTIVE13.64.02.1
Raegan BeersACTIVE12.54.43.3
Ashlon JacksonACTIVE10.12.20.0
Gianna KneepkensACTIVE7.73.71.0
Aaliyah EdwardsOUT0.00.00.0
Brittney GrinerOUT0.00.00.0
Rayah MarshallOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
Los Angeles Sparks13 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Rae BurrellACTIVE31.218.72.4
Nneka OgwumikeACTIVE29.916.18.0
Dearica HambyACTIVE29.316.86.6
Ariel AtkinsACTIVE26.67.12.4
Erica WheelerACTIVE25.410.02.2
Cameron BrinkACTIVE12.56.33.9
Monique Akoa MakaniACTIVE9.62.80.6
Tonie MorganACTIVE8.74.10.3
Chance GrayACTIVE6.92.20.7
Alissa PiliACTIVE6.11.91.5
Jihyun ParkACTIVE5.71.80.5
Kate MartinACTIVE4.71.01.5
Emma CannonACTIVE3.41.60.9
Add optional player line

Atlanta Dream at Phoenix Mercury

Atlanta Dream14 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Rhyne HowardACTIVE33.920.03.3
Angel ReeseACTIVE32.414.413.2
Allisha GrayACTIVE31.818.23.8
Jordin CanadaACTIVE30.911.44.3
Naz HillmonACTIVE28.27.94.9
Isobel BorlaseACTIVE14.93.51.7
Madina OkotACTIVE10.34.23.4
Te-Hina PaopaoACTIVE7.63.00.3
Aaliyah NyeACTIVE4.01.60.5
Sika KoneACTIVE2.80.90.5
Brionna JonesOUT0.00.00.0
Indya NivarOUT0.00.00.0
Jaylyn SherrodOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line
Phoenix Mercury15 roster players
PlayerMinPTSREB
Alyssa ThomasACTIVE35.514.99.0
Kahleah CopperACTIVE35.419.23.1
DeWanna BonnerACTIVE29.913.87.3
Noemie BrochantACTIVE26.18.81.5
Sami WhitcombACTIVE18.16.11.6
Natasha MackACTIVE17.76.54.4
Valeriane AyayiACTIVE13.93.81.7
Kyara LinskensACTIVE11.01.54.2
Lexi HeldACTIVE9.62.51.1
Marta SuarezQUESTIONABLE2.80.20.4
Kara DunnACTIVE0.00.00.0
Maddy WestbeldACTIVE0.00.00.0
Shay CiezkiACTIVE0.00.00.0
Jovana NogicOUT0.00.00.0
Kelsey PlumOUT0.00.00.0
Add optional player line